Toàn cầu hóa tài chính, toàn cầu hóa thương mại và tăng trưởng kinh tế: Nghiên cứu trường hợp Việt nam

Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Linh1, , Đoàn Thị Thu Trang2
1 Trường Đại học Tài chính - Marketing
2 Trường Đại học Công nghiệp Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
294
Ngày xuất bản: 26/12/2024
Ngày xuất bản Online: 25/12/2024
Chuyên mục: Bài nghiên cứu
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52932/jfm.v15i9.623

Nội dung chính của bài viết

Tóm tắt

Bài nghiên cứu này tập trung vào việc phân tích tác động của toàn cầu hóa tài chính và toàn cầu hóa thương mại đến tăng trưởng kinh tế tại Việt Nam. Trong đó, toàn cầu hóa tài chính và toàn cầu hóa thương mại được đo lường thông qua chỉ số tổng hợp, thay vì sử dụng các chỉ số thành phần như hầu hết các nghiên cứu trước. Mẫu dữ liệu được thu thập tại Việt Nam, đây là một quốc gia đang hướng đến toàn cầu hóa nhằm thúc đẩy tăng trưởng kinh tế. Đối với phương pháp ước lượng, các tác giả sử dụng phương pháp độ trễ phân phối tự hồi quy (ARDL) để ước lượng mô hình nghiên cứu, phương pháp này có ưu điểm khi ước lượng mô hình nghiên cứu với quy mô mẫu dữ liệu còn hạn chế, điều này phù hợp với các quốc gia đang phát triển như Việt Nam. Kết quả nghiên cứu cho thấy toàn cầu hóa tài chính và toàn cầu hóa thương mại có vai trò quan trọng đối với tăng trưởng kinh tế tại Việt Nam trong cả ngắn hạn và dài hạn. Cụ thể, toàn cầu hóa thương mại tỏ ra quan trọng hơn so với toàn cầu hóa tài chính khi thúc đẩy tăng trưởng kinh tế trong dài hạn. Tuy nhiên, toàn cầu hóa tài chính lại có hiệu quả hơn so với toàn cầu hóa thương mại khi thúc đẩy tăng trưởng kinh tế trong ngắn hạn. Với kết quả này, bài nghiên cứu đã đạt được thành công nhất định khi tìm thấy bằng chứng thực nghiệm về vai trò của toàn cầu hóa tài chính và toàn cầu hóa thương mại đến tăng trưởng kinh tế tại Việt Nam.

Abstract

This study focuses on analyzing the impact of financial and trade globalization on Vietnam’s economic growth. Accordingly, in most of the previous studies, financial globalization and trade globalization are measured through composite indexes instead of component indexes . The data sample was collected in Vietnam, a country that is transitioning to globalization to promote economic growth. Regarding the estimation method, the authors use the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to estimate the research model. This method is advantageous for estimating the research model with a limited data sample size and is suitable for developing countries such as Vietnam. The research results indicate that financial globalization and trade globalization play important roles in Vietnam’s economic growthin both the short and long term. Specifically, trade globalization appears to be more important than financial globalization in promoting economic growth in the long term. Meanwhile, financial globalization is more effective than trade globalization in promoting economic growth in the short term. Thanks to the research results, the study has achieved certain success in finding empirical evidence on the role of financial and trade globalization on Vietnam’s economic growth.

Chi tiết bài viết

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Trích dẫn bài báo
Linh, N. T. M., & Trang, Đ. T. T. (2024). Toàn cầu hóa tài chính, toàn cầu hóa thương mại và tăng trưởng kinh tế: Nghiên cứu trường hợp Việt nam. Tạp chí Nghiên cứu Tài chính - Marketing, 15(9), 15-30. https://doi.org/10.52932/jfm.v15i9.623